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	<title>Mark Casey Online &#187; Caucuses</title>
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		<title>John McCain, Destroyer of Foes</title>
		<link>http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/11/john-mccain-destroyer-of-foes/</link>
		<comments>http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/11/john-mccain-destroyer-of-foes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jan 2008 04:47:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Casey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Caucuses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election '08]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://markcaseyonline.com/archives/94</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Brief primary update:
John McCain has bounced an astounding 21 points in the national polls after his New Hampshire win, with voters apparently heartened by his apparent ability to appeal to an electorate.  He now leads Huckabee by ten points, and Rudy &#8220;Let&#8217;s Just Win Florida&#8221; Giulianni is in a distant third.
Meanwhile, Hillary leads Obama [...]


Related posts:<ol><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/11/giuliannis-florida-strategy-is-bad/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Giulianni&#8217;s &#8220;Florida Strategy&#8221; is&#8230; bad.'>Giulianni&#8217;s &#8220;Florida Strategy&#8221; is&#8230; bad.</a> <small>  Rudy Giulianni has a much-discussed strategy for winning the...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/05/hillary-and-mccains-leads-shrink/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Hillary and McCain&#8217;s leads shrink'>Hillary and McCain&#8217;s leads shrink</a> <small>MSNBC reports that new polls indicate Hillary Clinton and John...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/09/mccain-takes-new-hampshire-hillary-shocks-obama/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: McCain takes New Hampshire, Hillary shocks Obama'>McCain takes New Hampshire, Hillary shocks Obama</a> <small>After all that fuss about Huckabee and Romney battling for...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/05/21/the-mccain-mutiny/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: The McCain Mutiny'>The McCain Mutiny</a> <small>Very interesting stuff coming out of the McCain campaign today....</small></li></ol>

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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brief primary update:</p>
<p>John McCain has bounced an astounding 21 points in the <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/01/11/2008.poll/index.html" target="_blank">national polls</a> after his New Hampshire win, with voters apparently heartened by his apparent ability to appeal to an electorate.  He now leads Huckabee by ten points, and Rudy &#8220;Let&#8217;s Just Win Florida&#8221; Giulianni is in a distant third.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, Hillary leads Obama by nearly ten points, though he is also up six points from his pre-Iowa stance.  No word yet on whether or not she <a href="http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/11/candidates-push-for-a-nh-recount/" target="_blank">rigged</a> New Hampshire by buying the electronic votes.</p>


<p>Related posts:<ol><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/11/giuliannis-florida-strategy-is-bad/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Giulianni&#8217;s &#8220;Florida Strategy&#8221; is&#8230; bad.'>Giulianni&#8217;s &#8220;Florida Strategy&#8221; is&#8230; bad.</a> <small>  Rudy Giulianni has a much-discussed strategy for winning the...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/05/hillary-and-mccains-leads-shrink/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Hillary and McCain&#8217;s leads shrink'>Hillary and McCain&#8217;s leads shrink</a> <small>MSNBC reports that new polls indicate Hillary Clinton and John...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/09/mccain-takes-new-hampshire-hillary-shocks-obama/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: McCain takes New Hampshire, Hillary shocks Obama'>McCain takes New Hampshire, Hillary shocks Obama</a> <small>After all that fuss about Huckabee and Romney battling for...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/05/21/the-mccain-mutiny/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: The McCain Mutiny'>The McCain Mutiny</a> <small>Very interesting stuff coming out of the McCain campaign today....</small></li></ol></p>
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		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Giulianni&#8217;s &#8220;Florida Strategy&#8221; is&#8230; bad.</title>
		<link>http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/11/giuliannis-florida-strategy-is-bad/</link>
		<comments>http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/11/giuliannis-florida-strategy-is-bad/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jan 2008 18:41:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Casey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Caucuses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election '08]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Giulianni]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://markcaseyonline.com/archives/92</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ 
Rudy Giulianni has a much-discussed strategy for winning the GOP nomination, and that strategy is &#8220;if no one is going to like me, I might as well pretend the feeling is mutual.&#8221;
Also known as &#8220;The Florida Strategy,&#8221; Rudy is completely forgoing the usually-important caucuses in Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan and elsewhere, instead focusing all his [...]


Related posts:<ol><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/11/john-mccain-destroyer-of-foes/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: John McCain, Destroyer of Foes'>John McCain, Destroyer of Foes</a> <small>Brief primary update: John McCain has bounced an astounding 21...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/02/07/super-tuesday-spin-out-of-hand/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Super Tuesday Spin Out of Hand'>Super Tuesday Spin Out of Hand</a> <small>Well, CNN.com is reporting that Obama has raised over 3...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/02/19/florida-endorses-evolution/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Florida &#8220;Endorses&#8221; Evolution'>Florida &#8220;Endorses&#8221; Evolution</a> <small>For years, the state of Florida&#8217;s educational systems have been...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/04/obama-huckabee-big-winners-big-expectations/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Obama, Huckabee: Big Winners, Big Expectations'>Obama, Huckabee: Big Winners, Big Expectations</a> <small>If Howard Dean, Rudy Giulianni, and Hillary Clinton can teach...</small></li></ol>

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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> <a href="http://markcaseyonline.com/archives/92/rudy-giulianni/" rel="attachment wp-att-93" title="Rudy Giulianni"><img src="http://markcaseyonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/01/giulianni.jpg" alt="Rudy Giulianni" /></a></p>
<p>Rudy Giulianni has a much-discussed strategy for winning the GOP nomination, and that strategy is &#8220;if no one is going to like me, I might as well pretend the feeling is mutual.&#8221;</p>
<p>Also known as &#8220;The Florida Strategy,&#8221; Rudy is completely forgoing the usually-important caucuses in Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan and elsewhere, instead focusing all his time and resources on Florida, the final primary before the big show next month.</p>
<p>The only problem?  He&#8217;s falling nationally in the polls, and he has absolutely <a href="http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/01/11/post_272.html" target="_blank">no money.</a>  No, seriously.  His staff and consultants are forgoing their salaries, based on the presumed promise that he&#8217;ll pay them later.  I guess, you know, after he becomes president or something.</p>


<p>Related posts:<ol><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/11/john-mccain-destroyer-of-foes/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: John McCain, Destroyer of Foes'>John McCain, Destroyer of Foes</a> <small>Brief primary update: John McCain has bounced an astounding 21...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/02/07/super-tuesday-spin-out-of-hand/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Super Tuesday Spin Out of Hand'>Super Tuesday Spin Out of Hand</a> <small>Well, CNN.com is reporting that Obama has raised over 3...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/02/19/florida-endorses-evolution/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Florida &#8220;Endorses&#8221; Evolution'>Florida &#8220;Endorses&#8221; Evolution</a> <small>For years, the state of Florida&#8217;s educational systems have been...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/04/obama-huckabee-big-winners-big-expectations/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Obama, Huckabee: Big Winners, Big Expectations'>Obama, Huckabee: Big Winners, Big Expectations</a> <small>If Howard Dean, Rudy Giulianni, and Hillary Clinton can teach...</small></li></ol></p>
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		<item>
		<title>McCain takes New Hampshire, Hillary shocks Obama</title>
		<link>http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/09/mccain-takes-new-hampshire-hillary-shocks-obama/</link>
		<comments>http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/09/mccain-takes-new-hampshire-hillary-shocks-obama/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 19:38:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Casey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Caucuses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hillary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://markcaseyonline.com/archives/80</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After all that fuss about Huckabee and Romney battling for the GOP&#8217;s top spot, no one was really thinking that McCain would take New Hampshire, and certainly not by a large margin.
But that&#8217;s exactly what he did last night, and his campaign appears to be gaining new momentum from disenfranchised Romney supporters and the expected [...]


Related posts:<ol><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/04/obama-huckabee-big-winners-big-expectations/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Obama, Huckabee: Big Winners, Big Expectations'>Obama, Huckabee: Big Winners, Big Expectations</a> <small>If Howard Dean, Rudy Giulianni, and Hillary Clinton can teach...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/05/hillary-and-mccains-leads-shrink/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Hillary and McCain&#8217;s leads shrink'>Hillary and McCain&#8217;s leads shrink</a> <small>MSNBC reports that new polls indicate Hillary Clinton and John...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/13/hillary-pats-self-on-back-implies-that-shes-black/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Hillary Pats Self on Back, Belittles Obama'>Hillary Pats Self on Back, Belittles Obama</a> <small>In an opportunistic visit with a largely African American church...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/06/03/secret-code-hillary-wants-vp/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Secret Code: Hillary Wants VP?'>Secret Code: Hillary Wants VP?</a> <small>Um&#8230; yes? How about: painfully obvious code. Clinton&#8217;s speech tomorrow,...</small></li></ol>

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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://markcaseyonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/01/clinton.jpg" title="Hillary Clinton"><img src="http://markcaseyonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/01/clinton.jpg" alt="Hillary Clinton" align="right" height="261" width="261" /></a>After all that fuss about Huckabee and Romney battling for the GOP&#8217;s top spot, no one was really thinking that McCain would take New Hampshire, and certainly not by a large margin.</p>
<p>But that&#8217;s exactly what he did last night, and his campaign appears to be gaining new momentum from disenfranchised Romney supporters and the expected flood of <a href="http://markcaseyonline.com/archives/73" target="_blank">anti-Huckabee votes</a> (apparently not everyone relishes the idea of nominating a Pastor-in-Chief).</p>
<p>In the meantime, Hillary somehow managed to overcome Obama&#8217;s double-digit lead in the polls and actually win the night.  No word yet on whether or not Bill&#8217;s <a href="http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/" target="_blank">personal attacks against Obama</a> had anything to do with the surge of Hillary supporters.  But, what&#8217;s done is done, and the woman who wants politics to be a game (but gave a <a href="http://www.newsweek.com/id/85609" target="_blank">teary-eyed speech</a> claiming the contrary yesterday) has started to win it again.  Good for her&#8230; maybe not so good for Obama.</p>


<p>Related posts:<ol><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/04/obama-huckabee-big-winners-big-expectations/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Obama, Huckabee: Big Winners, Big Expectations'>Obama, Huckabee: Big Winners, Big Expectations</a> <small>If Howard Dean, Rudy Giulianni, and Hillary Clinton can teach...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/05/hillary-and-mccains-leads-shrink/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Hillary and McCain&#8217;s leads shrink'>Hillary and McCain&#8217;s leads shrink</a> <small>MSNBC reports that new polls indicate Hillary Clinton and John...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/13/hillary-pats-self-on-back-implies-that-shes-black/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Hillary Pats Self on Back, Belittles Obama'>Hillary Pats Self on Back, Belittles Obama</a> <small>In an opportunistic visit with a largely African American church...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/06/03/secret-code-hillary-wants-vp/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: Secret Code: Hillary Wants VP?'>Secret Code: Hillary Wants VP?</a> <small>Um&#8230; yes? How about: painfully obvious code. Clinton&#8217;s speech tomorrow,...</small></li></ol></p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>McCain on the Move</title>
		<link>http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/05/mccain-on-the-move/</link>
		<comments>http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/05/mccain-on-the-move/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Jan 2008 22:46:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Casey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Caucuses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[McCain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://markcaseyonline.com/archives/73</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Just two days after winning in Iowa, the spotlight appears to be getting to Mike Huckabee.  For one thing, the increased scrutiny that comes with being a frontrunner has thrown even more attention onto the candidate&#8217;s troubled son, who&#8217;s just run into some more poorly-timed trouble&#8211;an early-morning car accident.
Now, whispers have already begun suggesting [...]


Related posts:<ol><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/10/25/mccain-campaign-fissures-palin-called-a-diva/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: McCain Campaign Fissures, Palin Called a &#8216;Diva&#8217;'>McCain Campaign Fissures, Palin Called a &#8216;Diva&#8217;</a> <small>Yup, this is what a diva sounds like: McCain sources...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/10/26/how-mccain-and-the-gop-can-win-without-pennsylvania/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: How McCain (and the GOP) Can Win Without Pennsylvania'>How McCain (and the GOP) Can Win Without Pennsylvania</a> <small>The big push in Republican commentary and strategy seems to...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/06/20/mccainbush-joint-non-joint-iowa-visit-causes-tension/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: McCain/Bush Joint&#8230; Non-joint Iowa Visit Causes Tension'>McCain/Bush Joint&#8230; Non-joint Iowa Visit Causes Tension</a> <small>Yesterday, John McCain and George W. Bush visited the flood-damaged...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/09/25/mccain-suspends-campaign-but-doesnt-really/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: McCain Suspends Campaign&#8230; But Doesn&#8217;t, really'>McCain Suspends Campaign&#8230; But Doesn&#8217;t, really</a> <small>Anyone who follows politics now knows about John McCain&#8217;s 12-hour...</small></li></ol>

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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://markcaseyonline.com/archives/73/john-mccain-in-new-hampshire/" rel="attachment wp-att-70" title="John McCain in New Hampshire"><img src="http://markcaseyonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/01/mccain-jacobsilberberg.jpg" alt="John McCain in New Hampshire" align="right" height="214" width="382" /></a>Just two days after winning in Iowa, the spotlight appears to be getting to Mike Huckabee.  For one thing, the increased scrutiny that comes with being a frontrunner has thrown even more attention onto the candidate&#8217;s troubled son, who&#8217;s just run into some more poorly-timed trouble&#8211;an <a href="http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/01/huckabees-son-i.html" target="_blank">early-morning car accident</a>.</p>
<p>Now, whispers have already begun suggesting that John McCain is primed to supplant the new leader for the GOP nomination.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/05/us/politics/05repubs.html?em&amp;ex=1199682000&amp;en=6847d1b28e00cd56&amp;ei=5087%0A" target="_blank">The New York Times is reporting</a> that the politicos of the Republican party are stepping away from the populist preacher candidate, fearing that he doesn&#8217;t have the chops to win nationally in the general election.  I guess something about a Southern governor and religious fanatic seems a little too familiar to the GOP elite.</p>
<p>Oh, and did I mention that <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/01/05/wyoming.republicans/index.html" target="_blank">Mitt Romney just took Wyoming</a>?</p>


<p>Related posts:<ol><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/10/25/mccain-campaign-fissures-palin-called-a-diva/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: McCain Campaign Fissures, Palin Called a &#8216;Diva&#8217;'>McCain Campaign Fissures, Palin Called a &#8216;Diva&#8217;</a> <small>Yup, this is what a diva sounds like: McCain sources...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/10/26/how-mccain-and-the-gop-can-win-without-pennsylvania/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: How McCain (and the GOP) Can Win Without Pennsylvania'>How McCain (and the GOP) Can Win Without Pennsylvania</a> <small>The big push in Republican commentary and strategy seems to...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/06/20/mccainbush-joint-non-joint-iowa-visit-causes-tension/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: McCain/Bush Joint&#8230; Non-joint Iowa Visit Causes Tension'>McCain/Bush Joint&#8230; Non-joint Iowa Visit Causes Tension</a> <small>Yesterday, John McCain and George W. Bush visited the flood-damaged...</small></li><li><a href='http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/09/25/mccain-suspends-campaign-but-doesnt-really/' rel='bookmark' title='Permanent Link: McCain Suspends Campaign&#8230; But Doesn&#8217;t, really'>McCain Suspends Campaign&#8230; But Doesn&#8217;t, really</a> <small>Anyone who follows politics now knows about John McCain&#8217;s 12-hour...</small></li></ol></p>
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		<title>Obama, Huckabee: Big Winners, Big Expectations</title>
		<link>http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/04/obama-huckabee-big-winners-big-expectations/</link>
		<comments>http://www.markcaseyonline.com/2008/01/04/obama-huckabee-big-winners-big-expectations/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jan 2008 20:27:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark Casey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Caucuses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election '08]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Huckabee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[If Howard Dean, Rudy Giulianni, and Hillary Clinton can teach us anything, it&#8217;s that living up to people&#8217;s expectations can be difficult.
All three were leaders in seeking their party&#8217;s nomination at one point, and all three ended up on their face because people expected too much, watched too much, and got too little out of [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.clackamasreview.com/reuters_graphics/2007-12-19T175340Z_01_NOOTR_RTRIDSP_2_NEWS-USA-POLITICS-DC.jpg" alt="Obama and Huckabee from Reuters" align="right" height="169" width="251" />If Howard Dean, Rudy Giulianni, and Hillary Clinton can teach us anything, it&#8217;s that living up to people&#8217;s expectations can be difficult.</p>
<p>All three were leaders in seeking their party&#8217;s nomination at one point, and all three ended up on their face because people expected too much, watched too much, and got too little out of them.</p>
<p>Generally, there&#8217;s an advantage to starting lower and then being catapulted into the lead, as Obama and Huckabee have both done&#8211;but being in the lead this early still isn&#8217;t a great idea if you can&#8217;t handle it.  McCain had the lead in 2000 until late in the nomination process, when the larger spotlight of &#8220;Frontrunner&#8221; showed people his flaws and gaffes, then the lesser known and more &#8220;likeable&#8221; George W. could swoop in an scoop up people&#8217;s insecurity votes.</p>
<p>Obama can handle it.  He&#8217;s youthful, excited&#8211;people will find his enthusiasm appealing.  He&#8217;ll wear the mantle of &#8220;Frontrunner&#8221; well because he&#8217;s not boring&#8211;that&#8217;s why Hillary and Romney&#8217;s support wilted in the spotlight.  But they can still come back, with the right mix.  Romney isn&#8217;t boring.</p>
<p>For now, good luck to Huckabee and Obama.  They deserved to win this round.</p>


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